The world is bustling, all for profit; the world is in turmoil, all for profit! Hello everyone, I am your friend Lao Cui, focusing on digital currency market analysis, striving to convey the most valuable cryptocurrency information to vast crypto friends. Welcome all crypto friends' attention and likes, and reject any market smokescreens!

 Opportunities to break free from losses exist today. This morning at eight o'clock, it set a new low at the position of 68228, we will see if it can recover the 70,000 mark today. The seemingly escalating conflict has led to a volatile atmosphere in the entire financial market, with possibilities for upward and downward movements. Today, let’s clarify the extent of the impact of military conflict, and it is crucial to define America's strategic objectives toward Iran. Previously, I discussed that it is merely about the deep binding issue between energy and the dollar. Currently, the advantage is definitely with Iran, which can be seen from the peace negotiation details, so Trump has already failed regarding the energy sector. So why is he still insisting at this stage? It is a matter of timing; economically, it can't progress as Trump imagines, meaning the current inflation problem is unsolvable. The fundamental issue of inflation is the energy and oil problem. The inability to seize pricing power will inevitably lead to military conflicts.

At this stage, one can say Trump is in a difficult position, wanting to cut interest rates to achieve favorable data. However, the data supports raising interest rates even more, making it hard to strike a balance. Therefore, the biggest issue for Trump is the midterm election votes. According to the current economic data, it is apparent that it poses a severe threat to his presidential status. What he can do now is to stabilize his power core through military means, which results in uncontrollable military dynamics. On one hand, there are calls for peace talks, while on the other hand, military preparations are intensifying. Iran sees America's strength more clearly through the war, and it is unlikely to entertain thoughts of peace talks easily. So what kind of impact will the continuation of military dynamics have on the crypto space? It remains primarily a matter of interest rate hikes versus cuts. This issue always hangs like the Sword of Damocles over the heart of all financial markets; once interest rates are raised, all funds will withdraw.

If it weren't for Trump being president, and if it were anyone else, even past presidents, the influence of Roosevelt must be put aside, as no president would extend the war to this day. They wouldn't even initiate this round of war. Currently, we need to assess whether Trump is truly a madman. Old America has clearly expressed a willingness for peace talks, but will Trump gamble with the nation's fate? It is hard to judge. Lao Cui estimates that it will not last too long, within a week to half a month, regardless of the outcome, the seemingly absurd conflict will end. However, there will definitely be a large-scale invasion; the question is whether they can bring back the fruits of victory based on the current expansion. For everyone regarding the short-term impact, it is essential to focus on military dynamics. This is also what I mentioned in yesterday's article, reminding everyone that this may be the last chance for those in short positions to break even; it must be seized. The subsequent inflation in energy will be alleviated to a certain extent, and Iran is no longer facing pressure from America, which they likely cannot withstand.

Lao Cui summarizes: Military conflicts serve as a decisive factor for the long-term and short-term trends of the crypto space, which is a primary factor. Secondly, the recent positive news in the crypto space is significant; everyone should not be too pessimistic about the crypto market. Musk's frequent promotion of trading on X and the circulation data of USDC all indicate the recovery of the crypto market. Regarding the current interest rate hike and cut issue, there will actually be a conclusion—it is merely about postponing the rate cuts from June and September to between September and December. The core issues will not be affected, but whether rates can be cut in June will determine Trump's fate. As long as inflation data persists, Trump is highly likely to escalate to seek his own protection. The current financial situation is indeed not optimistic. The crypto market may not necessarily be influenced; it has certain hedging properties. Remember, during this conflict, Bitcoin's price has actually gained a certain degree of support. Contracts should keep a close eye on the 68 mark; if it does not break down, it will welcome a turning point. The market is likely to continue to battle around the 70,000 mark; my viewpoint is that after today's correction, a turning point will emerge.

Original content created by the public account: Lao Cui Talks About Coins. For assistance, feel free to contact directly.

Lao Cui's message: Investing is like playing chess; a master can foresee five, seven, or even more than ten moves, while a novice can only see two or three. The skilled look at the larger situation and strategies, not prioritizing one piece or one space, but aiming for the ultimate win. The novice, on the other hand, competes for every inch of land, frequently shifts between long and short positions, only scrambling for short-term gains, resulting in frequent entrapment.

This material is for learning reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading based on this is at your own risk!

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