Core Judgment: Fluctuation is Slightly Bearish, Focus on Short Positions
The current price (about $2365) is in a key resistance zone, and the risk of chasing long positions is high, while the probability and risk-reward ratio for shorting for a pullback are higher.
High Probability Trading Strategy (Shorting Scenario)
Logic: Betting that the price cannot break the previous high and will be hindered and fall back.
1. Entry Range: Patiently wait for the price to rebound to 2350−2350 - 2350−2365.
2. Opening Signal (must see!):
○ 15-minute candlestick shows a long upper shadow (spiking up and then falling back);
○ or shows a bear engulfing (a large bearish candle covering the previous bullish candle).
3. Stop Loss: Strictly set at $2388 (immediately exit if it breaks the previous high).
4. Target: First target 2320∗∗, second target∗∗2320**, second target **2320∗∗, second target∗∗2280.
Alternative Strategy (Low Long Scenario)
Logic: Betting that the support below is valid, aiming for a rebound.
1. Entry Range: Patiently wait for the price to fall back to 2250−2250 - 2250−2260.
2. Opening Signal: 15-minute candlestick shows a long lower shadow or consecutive bullish candles stabilizing.
3. Stop Loss: Set at $2210.
4. Target: Rebound to 2300−2300 - 2300−2320.
Expert Iron Rules
1. Do not chase trades now ($2365)! Wait for a pullback signal to confirm before going short.
2. Better to miss than to make a mistake; being out of the market is also a position.
3. Strictly implement stop losses; not holding trades is the survival bottom line.
In Summary: The price has reached the ambush zone; wait for a signal of a spike and fall before going short, set the stop loss, and target the pullback.
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The above article is exclusively planned by the (Warm Heart Talks Currency) analysis team; the article is sent with a delay, and the content is for reference only. Investment carries risks; proceed with caution. If you're in a losing position, locked up, or your operations are not ideal, and you want to learn more real-time analysis, please follow my public account and communicate with me. I have many years of research experience in the cryptocurrency space, and everyone is welcome to learn.
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