Brothers, Bitcoin has recently returned to $78,000, successfully standing at a real market average of $78,100. This is the most critical signal since mid-January— the market is slowly turning from the depths of a bear market to a constructive structure.

$80,000: The "Ceiling" of Chips Game

The cost baseline for short-term holders is around $80,100, where there is already a strong psychological and physical resistance. Once the price rushes towards $80,000, 54% of short-term holders will enter profit territory. Currently, profits realized per hour have reached as high as $4.4 million, three times the threshold of this year’s local peak, and the pressure to take profits should not be underestimated.

The good news is that the selling pressure in the $60k-$70k range has started to emerge, but $70,000 is gradually solidifying as a strong medium-term support.

Spot and Capital Flow: Who is Supporting the Market?

Spot demand is showing early signs of recovery, with cumulative trading volume delta turning positive and buyers becoming more aggressive. Binance's spot CVD is showing buyer dominance, indicating that there is real spot capital supporting the market, rather than relying purely on the speculative heat of derivatives.

The 7-day moving average of US spot ETF capital flow has also returned to a positive value. Although the inflow scale has not yet reached last year's peak, the directional reversal has been established. Overall volatility is relatively soft, having compressed to 40.7%, and the upward driving force in a low-volatility environment is significantly insufficient, necessitating caution against the risk of short-term sharp pullbacks.

Macroeconomic Warfare: Dimensional Hedging from Crypto to TradFi

The market is repeatedly entangled at the $80,000 threshold; although the intensity of geopolitical warfare is declining, the economic war surrounding Hormuz continues. At this time, stubbornly clinging to a single asset is too risky; diversified allocation is a more stable approach.

Many brothers are starting to shift their focus to the TradFi dimension. Recently, Bybit has added 45 popular US stock CFDs (including PINS, TMO, SCHW, NVAX, etc.), with a zero-fee model and ultra-low spreads, allowing seamless trading of 300+ traditional assets like crude oil.

Fast execution speed, user-friendly interface, switching from stocks to crude oil involves almost zero learning cost, capturing short-term fluctuations in US stocks while also providing another hedging tool.

More Dimensional Allocation, More Assurance

Don’t let assets be locked in a fluctuating range. Start by practicing asset allocation from multiple dimensions to disperse risk. During the game period at $80,000, having peace of mind is more important than anything else.

New user benefits are also not missing: after registration, you can unlock up to 30,100+ USDT in experience funds (registration, deposit, trading task rewards), and with P2P deposits starting from 10 USDT, you can also draw a maximum of 99 USDT vouchers (the activity is valid until July 14, 2026). New TradFi users have exclusive Credit rewards as well.

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$100 registration experience fund, up to $30,000 deposit experience fund, VIP upgrade benefits waiting for you!

Act quickly, don’t let this wave of market analysis + TradFi diversification opportunities + new user benefits slip away. First, take the experience fund to practice, adding another dimension of allocation, dispersing risk and feeling much more at ease.

Join our community to discuss and become stronger together!

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Disclaimer: The above content is for reference only and does not constitute any investment advice. Digital assets and TradFi trading carry high risks, please participate rationally based on your own situation and ensure risk control. Platform activities are subject to official rules, and all activity details are based on official announcements.

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