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Tokenized Assets Could Reach $1.6T by 2030, Binance Research

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bitcoin.com
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1 hour ago
AI summarizes in 5 seconds.

Key Takeaways:

    • Binance Research framed tokenization as a bridge between traditional finance and blockchain systems.
    • Tokenized penetration across fixed income, equities, real estate, private credit, and commodities remains around 0.01%.
    • Regulatory progress could shape whether tokenized markets move beyond early institutional pilots.
  • Binance Research published a report on May 15 that framed tokenization as a growing bridge between traditional finance and blockchain infrastructure. The report said real-world assets ( RWAs) could form a much larger market by 2030 as institutions test digital versions of familiar financial products. Its base case placed the opportunity near $1.6 trillion.

    Treasury products, gold-backed commodities, and tokenized public equities remain among the clearest areas of activity. U.S. Treasury-linked tokens represent roughly half of real-world asset market value, while tokenized commodities are mostly gold-backed at around $5.1 billion. Tokenized equities have reached about $1.5 billion after growing from below $300 million at the start of 2025. Current adoption remains limited relative to the broader financial system. Binance Research estimated tokenized penetration across the five core asset classes modeled in the report — fixed income, equities, real estate, private credit, and commodities — at roughly 0.01% of the total addressable market. The analysis added:

    “Even sub-1% aggregate penetration by 2030 would represent a potentially trillion-dollar market, with our base case suggesting around US$1.6T.”

    Other asset classes remain part of the long-term runway. The analysis covered commodities, real estate, private funds, and alternative assets as areas where tokenization could develop beyond early fixed-income use cases. The study said the model may support broader access, faster settlement, and improved liquidity, while U.S. Treasury products, gold-backed commodities, and tokenized public equities continue to define current adoption.

    Different network models are taking shape across the market. Ethereum and Provenance were named among blockchains supporting tokenized assets. The report also referenced Canton Network as permissioned infrastructure used for Treasury repo activity and enterprise settlement. Public networks were linked to distribution, while permissioned systems were tied to privacy, compliance, and counterparty controls.

    Policy development remains a key part of the outlook. The report pointed to activity in the United States, Europe, Singapore, Hong Kong, and Australia as jurisdictions work on frameworks for digital securities and blockchain settlement. The analysis said financial institutions are exploring tokenized money market funds, collateral products, and Treasury instruments as rules become clearer. The analysis stated:

    “If these reinforce one another, tokenization could become a broader financial-market rail.”

    Adoption is still concentrated in products that institutions already understand. Binance Research tied further growth to regulation, infrastructure, issuer activity, and investor demand moving in the same direction. The report positioned tokenization as a financial-market shift that depends on practical deployment rather than isolated pilots.

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