Today is packed with useful information, specifically teaching everyone how to follow the main funds to enjoy profits and gain big, no longer being led around by the nose by the main players.

Is it a rebound or a reversal now? Data reveals the truth

I see that most friends say it is a rebound, and they are right. I also believe that this is just a weak rebound. The core reason is: the volume has not followed, and the open interest has been decreasing, meaning there is no incremental capital entering the market.

 Data from big orders on Coinbase and Kraken show that since June, these two platforms representing US institutional trading have seen only large sell orders in red, with individual amounts exceeding 5 million dollars. In other words, institutions are selling off during this rebound, so it fundamentally cannot result in a reversal trend.

In the short term, the pressure level for Bitcoin is in the range of 64000-64500, as there are many large sell orders placed by the main players here; the support level can be referred to as 62300-62500, which I mentioned in yesterday’s news. Everyone can consider these two ranges for short-term trading.

I want to emphasize the long-term situation; this is a relatively dangerous signal I see from the chip chart. Now the price has returned to the chip value zone, which is the darkest color area, and according to the rules, it will gravitate toward the price level where chips are most concentrated — this is the POC, which is currently around 59500. Everyone, don’t get this wrong.

In the range of 50,000 to 55,000, chips are obviously accumulating, and there is strong long-term support here. If Bitcoin effectively falls below 55000, it will quickly drop to around 50,000, which is the low point mentioned by the BG CEO. If it can't hold 50,000, it may enter a prolonged bottoming phase, following the previous bear market pattern, with a maximum drawdown of 70%, which would be around 37,000.

So my personal view is: 60,000 is very likely not the bottom of this bear market; if it breaks below 50,000, I will start a dollar-cost averaging strategy. Of course, this is just my personal judgment based on data and does not constitute any investment advice. Everyone should make their own decisions.

Tracking major orders: A tool for following big players to profit

After discussing the market situation, let's move on to today's core topic: how to use the major order tracking feature to make money alongside the top players in the market.

You must have seen "Goal Brother" on Twitter, right? He is the big mining player who starts every position with 100 million dollars, and whenever he opens a position, the market shakes. Our feature specifically tracks these top traders — how much they place on the order book, at what price point, whether they cancel orders, and whether there are completed transactions. We can capture this in real time.

On June 6, he opened a long position of 171 million dollars at the price of 60153 and later increased it to 200 million. By the time he closed his position, he made over 4 million dollars, recovering all his previous losses. Orders of this level have a decisive impact on short-term trends; if you can see it first, following along is definitely not a problem.

Let me give you three examples; imagine this candlestick chart in your mind.

Example 1: The pattern is bearish, but the main player is secretly bottom-fishing

From the pattern, the lows keep declining, the upward candles have long upper shadows, and the open interest is decreasing. Doesn’t it look like it’s about to drop?

But the answer is up! Because at that time, a main player secretly opened a long position of more than 200 million dollars, and this order was later shown by Goal Brother on Twitter. So you see, it’s easy to be misled by just looking at technical patterns, but the main player’s real capital won’t lie.

Example 2: Price increases with volume, but it’s a trap set by the main player

Price increases with volume, and open interest is also rising synchronously; it looks like a very healthy bullish signal, right? Many friends have clicked "long."

But the friends who shorted made money! Because there was a 145 million dollar short order waiting for everyone. This main player was particularly cunning; on the 13th, he first placed a 194 million dollar short order, executing only 25% before pressing the price down; when the price rebounded to 81270, he put out the remaining 145 million, crashing the market.

Example 3: A rising channel, but the main player flips and sells

A very standard ascending channel, the trend looks stable, and most friends are bullish.

But it still fell! Another 200 million dollar short order, and this was also placed by Goal Brother, who publicly disclosed his position on Twitter. Ultimately, this order was executed for 201 million dollars, and the price directly fell below the lower bound of the channel.

I share these examples not to say that the main players’ orders are 100% accurate; Goal Brother himself has stop-loss moments as well — on the day of the crash on June 2, he opened a 200 million dollar long order, and ended up stopping out. But it cannot be denied that the movements of the main players are the most valuable reference for short-term trading; 80% of market fluctuations are driven by these large capital movements.

No need to watch the market to follow the main players: Alerts + Automated Trading

Many friends will say: I can’t possibly watch the market 24 hours a day, how can I catch these big orders in real time?

The method is simple: use our major order alert feature. You only need to go to the alert settings, choose the trading pair you want to monitor, like BTC perpetual contracts, then set the order amount threshold you want to monitor, such as above 80 million dollars. Choose the types of notifications you want to receive — order placements, executions, or cancellations. Once set up, whenever a big order meeting the criteria appears, the system will automatically send you a pop-up notification.

I personally place more importance on executed orders alerts because placed orders may be canceled, while executed orders mean capital has been secured; the signal is more reliable.

If you don’t even have time to check alerts, you can use our custom indicators tool to achieve fully automatic trading with the main players. It supports reading large order data, and you can write your own strategy: for example, when Bitcoin perpetual contracts have a transaction of over 100 million dollars in long positions, automatically go long; when there are over 100 million dollars in short positions, automatically go short. You can also include stop-loss and take-profit settings, like 1.5% take-profit and 1% stop-loss, keeping the risk under your control.

After writing the strategy, don’t rush to real trading; be sure to do professional backtesting first. Select the time range you want to backtest, initial capital, and leverage. The system will automatically simulate historical market conditions, telling you the win rate, return rate, and maximum drawdown of this strategy. Once verified effective, then set it to real trading, ensuring you are more confident.

Tutorials related to alerts and custom indicators have already been published, and those who need them can search for them. If not, please contact customer service for inquiries~

Finally, a few heartfelt words

Many people lose money trading because they are always chasing rising and falling prices, being led around by the main players. And the tool for tracking major orders allows you to view the market from the main players’ perspective, understanding where they are placing orders, where transactions are occurring, and where they want to direct the market.

Of course, I want to emphasize again: there are no 100% accurate signals, and main players can also lose money. This tool only provides you with a reference of high probability; the final decision must still be made by you. Always ensure risk control and manage your take-profit and stop-loss.

By the way, many friends have asked me for the source code of the automatic following indicator I just mentioned; no problem, I will later share this indicator's source code in the plaza and Pro group, and everyone can use it for backtesting and modifications. If you have any questions, feel free to talk!

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