What to know : XRP investors are increasingly selling at a loss, indicating most onchain transactions involve coins that are underwater. The ratio marks a sharp reversal from the 2025 peak, when profit-takers outnumbered loss-sellers by 50 to 1, and is widely seen as a classic sign of market capitulation. XRP is trading around $1.11, down nearly 40% for the year and far below its July peak above $3.60, suggesting the token's bear market may be in its late stages.
XRP holders are increasingly selling at a loss in a textbook sign of market capitulation.
The 90-day moving average of XRP’s realized profit-to-loss ratio has plunged to 0.38, according to data tracked by Glassnode.
That means for every $1 of losses investors are realizing right now, they are taking in just 38 cents in profit. Essentially, most of the coins trading on the blockchain are underwater.
The situation marks a reversal from the 2025 peak, when the ratio hit 50. At that time, profit-takers were overwhelming loss-sellers by a staggering 50-to-1.
A ratio this far below 1 is widely viewed as a hallmark of capitulation, a market phase where exhausted holders finally throw in the towel and sell, often after bearing the prolonged pain of holding coins in loss. It reflects intense fear or forced selling in the market.
While capitulation doesn’t always mark the exact bottom, it frequently appears near exhaustion points in downtrends. For XRP traders, this could mean that the bear market is in its final stages.
The payments-focused cryptocurrency traded at around $1.11 at press time, down nearly 40% for the year, according to CoinDesk data. Prices peaked above $3.60 last July.
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